If you've been watching Queens investment sales headlines this year, the borough looks like it's on fire. QNS reported that dollar volume jumped 49 percent in the first half of 2026, the fastest growth Queens has seen since the same period in 2022. If you're actually underwriting a small multifamily building in Flushing, though, the Queens-wide multifamily measure moved the other way: price per square foot for multifamily assets fell to its lowest point in eight years. Cap rates climbed. The borough's growth story and the multifamily buyer's experience are not the same story, and confusing the two can cost you a competitive bid or a missed opportunity.
The Deal That Inflated the Borough's Number
Start with what actually drove that 49 percent jump. Queens investment-sales volume rose from $1.744 billion to $2.599 billion across 315 transactions in the first half of 2026, according to a QNS report published in late August. Development-site sales accounted for a big share of that growth, up 161 percent in the first quarter of 2026 alone, from $314.67 million to $821.62 million year over year.
Retail told an even more lopsided story. Dollar volume in that category rose 192 percent in the first quarter of 2026, from $229.43 million to $669.49 million, and most of that increase traces back to a single transaction: Acadia Realty Trust's $424.4 million purchase of the Shops at Skyview, a shopping center less than a mile from Citi Field and the proposed casino site at Willets Point.
Strip out that one retail trade and the surging land deals, and the borough's growth number gets a lot less dramatic. That matters if you're comparing your own deal against a headline that was built mostly on other people's transactions.
The Queens-Wide Multifamily Benchmark
Here's the Queens-wide benchmark to keep in view if you're looking at a two- to six-unit building, or a modest apartment building, in Flushing rather than a development parcel or a shopping center.
The average price per square foot for multifamily assets in Queens dropped from $254 to $231 in the first half of 2026, the lowest level in eight years. At the same time, cap rates for multifamily in the borough climbed to 6.83 percent. Buyers are pricing in higher-for-longer interest rates and the reality of capped upside on regulated units, and sellers are accepting less per square foot to get deals done.
Meanwhile, multifamily dollar volume barely moved at all, edging up just 3 percent, from $448.7 million to $461.9 million over the same stretch. The category that actually represents most small investor transactions was flat while the borough's overall number sprinted ahead on the strength of a few large, unusual deals.
| Metric | Prior Year | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Queens total investment sales volume (H1) | $1.74 billion | $2.60 billion |
| Multifamily dollar volume (H1) | $448.7 million | $461.9 million |
| Multifamily price per square foot (H1) | $254 | $231 |
| Development-site dollar volume (Q1) | $314.67 million | $821.62 million |
| Retail dollar volume (Q1) | $229.43 million | $669.49 million |
The development and retail rows reflect first-quarter figures as reported. The total and multifamily rows reflect the full first half. Both windows come from the same QNS report.
Two Numbers Pulling in Opposite Directions
The gap between a hot headline and a softer multifamily print isn't a contradiction. It's two different forces acting on two different parts of the market at the same time.
On June 25, 2026, the New York City Rent Guidelines Board voted 7-1 to freeze rents at 0 percent for both one-year and two-year lease renewals on the city's roughly 1 million rent-stabilized apartments, the first time in the board's history both lease terms received a 0 percent increase in the same cycle. That freeze applies to leases beginning on or after October 1, 2026, and runs through September 30, 2027. The prior cycle, covering leases from October 2025 through September 2026, had approved a 3 percent increase for one-year leases and 4.5 percent for two-year leases.
For an owner of a fully stabilized building, that swing from modest growth to zero growth changes the underwriting math immediately. It's part of why buildings with heavy concentrations of rent-stabilized units have already lost significant value citywide. Reporting from Georgetown's Steers Global Real Assets shows that buildings with 75 percent or more rent-stabilized units have fallen 45 percent in value from pre-2019 levels, before the Housing Stability and Tenant Protection Act closed off many of the ways owners could previously raise rents after a unit turned over.
That citywide drag is relevant to Flushing even though not every building in the neighborhood carries that exposure. A rule of thumb worth knowing if you're screening properties: rent-stabilization status can vary by building, and some newer buildings with certain tax benefits can be stabilized too. A free-market building two blocks away from a stabilized one can be underwritten on completely different assumptions, and the borough-wide average won't tell you which one you're looking at.
Where the Development Money Actually Went
The other half of the story is where investors are putting new capital, and in Flushing that's mostly land, not standing multifamily buildings.
Construction broke ground on September 17, 2026, on the second phase of Flushing Commons, a multi-tower project from F&T Group and the New York City Economic Development Corporation designed by Handel Architects, with Maxim Capital Group providing construction financing. The first phase, completed in 2017, delivered 148 condominium units, 90 office condominiums, roughly 30,000 square feet of retail, and 982 parking spaces at 37-10 138th Street. Phase two is expected to finish in June 2029, and a third phase adding close to 600,000 more square feet is slated to begin pre-development in 2027.
Separately, a developer has asked the city to rezone 36-04 Bud Place for two 10-story buildings totaling 381 apartments, part of the long-studied Flushing West planning area, according to Crain's New York Business. Developer Gary Chen filed his own zoning change application in June 2026 for a 10-story mixed-use project at 32-02 Linden Place, combining four existing properties into 296 residential units, 75 of them permanently affordable, along with roughly 32,954 square feet of ground-floor commercial space, according to Commercial Observer. Permits filed in July 2026 also cover a 13-story mixed-use building at 133-34 36th Road with 60 residential units near the Flushing Main Street LIRR and 7 train stations.
Zoom out further and Willets Point is pulling in even larger numbers. Steve Cohen and Hard Rock's roughly $8 billion Metropolitan Park casino and entertainment complex moved through New York City's Public Design Commission review on August 17, 2026, with no vote taken due to a lack of quorum but the project continuing to advance. Investors and developers are expected to pour at least $9 billion total into three separate projects in the neighborhood, according to Bisnow reporting from June 2026, even though most developers have stayed on the sidelines so far. As one broker working the area told Bisnow while discussing private capital's hesitation:
"It really is going to come down to who's going to be the first one to have a private development plant their flag there."
That's the pattern across Flushing right now. Money is flowing toward land that can be rezoned or redeveloped, and toward one enormous retail asset near the casino site. The Queens-wide multifamily benchmark, meanwhile, shows standing multifamily buildings, the kind most small investors actually buy, trading at a discount by comparison.
Questions Worth Asking Before You Underwrite a Flushing Building
Is the building actually rent-stabilized, and how much of it? Don't rely on the seller's rent roll alone. Confirm status and rent histories through the state's Homes and Community Renewal records, since a building that's only partially stabilized carries very different economics than one that's fully regulated.
What does the October 2026 freeze do to this specific rent roll? If the property has stabilized units with leases renewing after October 1, those units are locked at their current rent through September 2027 regardless of what expenses do. Model your holding period against that fact, not against last year's more forgiving 3 to 4.5 percent increase.
Is the low price per square foot a real discount or a symptom? A free-market or lightly-regulated building priced below the borough's recent average may simply reflect where cap rates have landed. A heavily stabilized building priced low may reflect the same value erosion showing up in citywide data. The number looks the same either way. The building behind it doesn't.
Buying or exchanging into a multifamily property in Flushing right now means separating a genuinely useful discount from a distressed one, and the borough's dollar-volume headline won't do that work for you. John O'Kane has spent decades underwriting multifamily and investment deals across Queens, including the 1031 exchange work that lets an investor move capital from one property into another without losing momentum. If you're looking at a building in Flushing and want a second set of eyes on what the numbers actually mean for your deal, call John for a consultation.
This article is general information, not legal, tax or financial advice. Consult a qualified professional about your situation.